FridayImInLove

0x152f67...09c7e7

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.4%

Total P&L

-$5.2K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.73

Sortino Ratio

68.80

Max Drawdown

20746.8%

ROI

-59.5%

Profit Factor

0.15

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	9.3¢	399.14	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	33.4¢	111.66	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	2.8¢	4,250.208	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	19.0¢	519.3	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.9¢	111.664	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	78.0¢	128.205	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	27.8¢	515.7	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	30.0¢	515.7	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	SELL	2.4¢	2,467.68	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	3.9¢	2,467.683	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	28.4¢	340.424	Mar 2
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	14.2¢	681.74	Mar 2
Will the US strike Iran next?	BUY	1.5¢	6,447.403	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.2¢	47,527.927	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.8¢	61,902.625	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	2.6¢	1,896.773	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	5,062.621	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	2,542.368	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	5,039.474	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	5,000	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.6%

Win Consistency19.4%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity77 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,5021d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue