FrozenTomato

0x9d06e9...61c4e8

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.4%

Total P&L

-$643

Trade Count

3,751

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

4.94

Max Drawdown

645.2%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	79.0¢	66.27	Mar 5
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	SELL	96.8¢	1.46	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	99.3¢	9.97	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	99.3¢	27.34	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	0.44	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	4.37	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	1.05	Mar 4
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?	BUY	94.1¢	6.08	Mar 4
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.81	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	22.27	Mar 4
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.8¢	33.33	Mar 4
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.6¢	12.1	Mar 4
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.9¢	12.1	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL	36.0¢	12.68	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.5¢	35	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.0¢	30.28	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	98.6¢	0.08	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	99.4¢	1.24	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	99.4¢	0.23	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	99.4¢	0.32	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.3%

Win Consistency58.3%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity3,751 trades · 73 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,41929d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue