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Gaged34

0x370db2...339c5d
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
91.3%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
81
Sharpe Ratio
-4.24
Sortino Ratio
-3.41
Max Drawdown
523.6%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.29
Kelly Fraction
0.205
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 6?BUY97.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?BUY98.9¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 6?BUY98.9¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?SELL99.9¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY97.2¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?SELL99.3¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will Nick Tran be the Republican Nominee for TX-08?SELL99.9¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 4?SELL99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?BUY98.0¢10Mar 3
Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?SELL99.9¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?SELL99.9¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 4?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will Nick Tran be the Republican Nominee for TX-08?BUY98.8¢10Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity81 trades · 29 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9613d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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