gdgdjyrght

0x44b24b...528bad

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$158

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.06

Sortino Ratio

0.07

Max Drawdown

1560.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

3.08

Kelly Fraction

0.473

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bulls vs. Suns	BUY	83.0¢	99.38	Mar 5
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,000.8	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,000.8	Mar 4
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,324.76	Mar 3
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,324.76	Mar 3
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,182	Mar 3
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,182	Mar 2
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,008	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	92.907	Mar 2
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,008	Mar 1
Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	BUY	70.0¢	196.13	Mar 1
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,080.44	Mar 1
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,080.44	Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,311	Feb 28
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,311	Feb 28
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,541	Feb 28
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,541	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	99.3¢	37.15	Feb 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,213	Feb 27
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,213	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.4%

Win Consistency32.7%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity89 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3731d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue