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GDSFV43

0x5b90b3...52b0a7
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
61.5%
Total P&L
+$24
Trade Count
406
Sharpe Ratio
-1.70
Sortino Ratio
-1.69
Max Drawdown
53956.9%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
3.76
Kelly Fraction
0.451
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢6.19Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.3¢6.12Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL49.0¢13.21Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢10.31Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL81.0¢12.2Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢12.195Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢11.44Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.8¢11.421Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.4¢7.25Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢7.246Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.4¢9.31Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢9.317Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢7.58Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢2.862Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢10.417Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢6.12Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢6.383Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ETBUY99.8¢6.012Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%9%70–80%11%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.5%
Win Consistency43.8%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity406 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4538d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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