ggesgb

0xff75ee...158c9b@DONNY_DEE97

Smart Score

Win Rate

89.9%

Total P&L

+$103

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.05

Max Drawdown

35.4%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

10.91

Kelly Fraction

0.816

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	85.17	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	85.17	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	85.085	Feb 14
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	85.085	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 22?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 17?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 11?	BUY	99.8¢	84.168	Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98,000 on January 6?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 4?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Dec 29
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	84.304	Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 22?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Dec 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	86.226	Dec 15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	86.136	Dec 8
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 1?	BUY	99.8¢	86.052	Dec 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 27?	BUY	99.9¢	25.815	Nov 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 26?	BUY	99.9¢	60.06	Nov 26
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in November 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	85.795	Nov 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.4%

Win Consistency47.8%

Profit Factor1.53

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Trading Activity60 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,6200d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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