GGGGgggg1010

0xadfc9e...ada0aa

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.9%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.56

Sortino Ratio

-1.34

Max Drawdown

398.9%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

6.87

Kelly Fraction

0.803

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	86.0¢	7.56	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	7.56	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	88.7¢	12.48	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	SELL	85.0¢	7.34	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	SELL	85.0¢	7.34	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	11.25	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	BUY	93.0¢	14.69	Mar 3
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	8.97	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	SELL	65.0¢	4.86	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	SELL	65.0¢	7.39	Mar 2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	93.0¢	12	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	95.0¢	12.25	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	15.12	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	15.12	Mar 2
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	9.84	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	SELL	90.2¢	5.17	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	SELL	90.2¢	5.17	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	10.34	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	SELL	85.7¢	5.09	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?	SELL	85.7¢	5.09	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.2%

Win Consistency55.3%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity63 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$2963d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue