GHFK

0x7897cb...1f65b8

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.5%

Total P&L

+$238

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.97

Sortino Ratio

-0.90

Max Drawdown

181.2%

ROI

11.6%

Profit Factor

1.97

Kelly Fraction

0.376

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	85.125	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	85.98	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.4¢	85.986	Feb 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	83.756	Jan 26
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.1¢	83.92	Jan 26
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.6¢	83.923	Jan 16
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.8¢	80.39	Jan 16
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	80.391	Dec 31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.9¢	81.13	Dec 31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	81.136	Dec 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	80.0¢	100	Dec 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	79.0¢	100	Dec 20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	94.0¢	100	Dec 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	100	Dec 3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	100	Nov 27
Pacers vs. Raptors	BUY	82.0¢	100	Nov 26
Hawks vs. Wizards	BUY	19.0¢	500	Nov 25
Pistons vs. Pacers	BUY	79.0¢	100	Nov 24
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder	BUY	91.0¢	100	Nov 23
Kings vs. Nuggets	BUY	84.0¢	100	Nov 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.1%

Win Consistency52.9%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity24 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0302d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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