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Giar

0x8e6ed7...1b2259
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
29.3%
Total P&L
-$64
Trade Count
242
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.46
Max Drawdown
466.6%
ROI
-4.4%
Profit Factor
0.81
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY13.1¢22.941Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY3.4¢117.365Mar 5
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL24.1¢46.66Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY9.4¢42.553Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY21.7¢46.048Mar 4
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?SELL44.0¢33.07Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?BUY2.1¢755.185Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY19.0¢2.901Mar 4
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?SELL62.1¢25.42Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY21.0¢47.619Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY9.3¢107.714Mar 4
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL38.0¢53.39Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY21.0¢23.81Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY9.1¢10.951Mar 4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL1.7¢294.99Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY21.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?SELL7.1¢57.14Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?BUY21.0¢9.524Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?BUY9.4¢21.277Mar 4
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL18.0¢22.6Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%22%10–20%19%20–30%14%30–50%10%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.8%
Win Consistency35.0%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity242 trades · 40 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4087d profit33d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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