Gluckyklucky

0x97d37d...493f3c

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.5%

Total P&L

+$12.6K

Trade Count

3,833

Sharpe Ratio

1.22

Sortino Ratio

1.38

Max Drawdown

58.3%

ROI

4.0%

Profit Factor

19.41

Kelly Fraction

0.754

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	338.29	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.3¢	200	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	25.1¢	154.86	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	42.64	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.9¢	45.24	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	95.64	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	68.0¢	200	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	0.31	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	50.752	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	23.81	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	47.619	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	23.81	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	23.81	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	4.88	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.5¢	300	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.1%

Win Consistency77.5%

Profit Factor1.69

Drawdown Resilience1.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.36

Weekly Sharpe est.1.04

Trading Activity3,833 trades · 106 active days

P&L Calendar

+$4,62454d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue