Goodcobra

0x103e46...c013c5
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
90.2%
Total P&L
+$7
Trade Count
119
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Sortino Ratio
0.18
Max Drawdown
106.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
7.69
Kelly Fraction
0.785
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
037.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.5¢2.286Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL41.9¢22.07Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY44.3¢22.077Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL71.9¢11.36Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY76.3¢11.363Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?SELL68.0¢9.19Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY67.4¢9.199Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL98.3¢2.41Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.5¢2.419Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?SELL95.0¢5.56Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY96.8¢5.568Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?SELL98.3¢9.16Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?BUY96.3¢9.169Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?BUY98.4¢7.581Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL95.1¢10.13Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY89.9¢10.133Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?SELL94.9¢8.45Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?BUY96.4¢8.454Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?SELL97.6¢8.02Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY97.3¢8.027Nov 5
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%8%50–70%10%70–80%11%80–90%60%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.2%
Win Consistency68.2%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity55 trades · 55 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3025d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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