GregaryGregary

0x3ead2d...8bfd3f

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.3%

Total P&L

-$83

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.26

Sortino Ratio

0.83

Max Drawdown

94.0%

ROI

-7.3%

Profit Factor

0.23

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	7.317	Mar 5
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	32.0¢	3.438	Feb 28
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Feb 7
Pistons vs. Warriors	BUY	47.0¢	2.17	Jan 30
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	BUY	45.0¢	6.81	Dec 26
Rockets vs. Lakers	BUY	56.0¢	7.11	Dec 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?	BUY	50.0¢	0.38	Dec 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?	BUY	50.0¢	24.62	Dec 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?	BUY	50.0¢	175	Dec 23
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	BUY	51.0¢	20.608	Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 30?	BUY	99.8¢	1,006.73	Oct 30
US government shutdown by October 1?	BUY	18.0¢	23.944	Sep 30
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	SELL	55.0¢	0.3	Oct 2
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	BUY	59.0¢	0.305	Oct 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	49.1¢	10.611	Sep 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.4%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity12 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1330d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue