grogu.sol

0x882fa7...d7819c

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.0%

Total P&L

+$272

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.98

Sortino Ratio

25.03

Max Drawdown

59.4%

ROI

8.4%

Profit Factor

1.42

Kelly Fraction

0.059

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	21.6¢	320.136	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	0.5¢	4,493.43	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	11.0¢	425.66	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	12.0¢	425.667	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	0.9¢	2,111.111	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.8¢	455.748	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.7¢	1,926.581	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	82.7¢	241.838	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	82.7¢	199.59	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	82.7¢	6.046	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	82.7¢	30.85	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	84.0¢	613.73	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	35.6¢	116.798	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	35.0¢	942.369	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.1¢	32.89	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	9.1¢	134.8	Mar 2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	5.0¢	134.8	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	36.4¢	18.52	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	46.8¢	18.526	Mar 1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	2.2¢	400.79	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.2%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity57 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2123d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue