gumpkinkween

gumpkinkween

0x398b12...1681a6
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
92.0%
Total P&L
+$189
Trade Count
2,545
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Sortino Ratio
-0.16
Max Drawdown
1541.4%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
1.25
Kelly Fraction
0.182
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
019.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY98.0¢10.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY93.1¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY96.8¢15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY97.6¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY97.3¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?BUY98.0¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 6?BUY93.0¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?BUY97.8¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on March 5?BUY96.6¢1.16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY96.8¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?BUY94.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 6?BUY93.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 6?BUY93.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY96.2¢5.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.0¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.0¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.0¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 6?BUY96.8¢16Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%10%80–90%83%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.4%
Win Consistency72.3%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity2,545 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$17,9861d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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