Hatzlocho613

0x830a96...e9222d

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.9%

Total P&L

+$376

Trade Count

128

Sharpe Ratio

-0.09

Sortino Ratio

-0.10

Max Drawdown

566.3%

ROI

6.3%

Profit Factor

5.31

Kelly Fraction

0.713

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	SELL	95.7¢	150	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	40.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	56.044	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	39.0¢	73.52	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.3¢	23.33	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	34.0¢	73.529	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	83.0¢	32	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	77.1¢	23.335	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	68.0¢	26.31	Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	43.0¢	67.442	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	BUY	60.0¢	200	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	150	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	67.0¢	200	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	SELL	96.6¢	426.66	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	76.667	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	SELL	97.3¢	65.17	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?	SELL	93.0¢	6.02	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	65.167	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	350	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.6%

Win Consistency56.7%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity52 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$2503d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue