heat10241

0x5038c1...40ae15

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.7%

Total P&L

+$4.1K

Trade Count

317

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Sortino Ratio

1.22

Max Drawdown

10503.9%

ROI

12.9%

Profit Factor

23.20

Kelly Fraction

0.811

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	59.0¢	356.91	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	59.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	59.0¢	51.21	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	58.8¢	40	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	59.0¢	9.86	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	57.0¢	18.44	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	53.0¢	21.26	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	75.0¢	9.57	Mar 5
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	76.0¢	460.57	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	88.0¢	243.73	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	15.38	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	243.73	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	88.0¢	156.27	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	92.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	32	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	24.27	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.3%

Win Consistency45.2%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity317 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,57615d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue