HFGDVSDFSE

0x46bd5e...051655

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.9%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

369

Sharpe Ratio

-2.20

Sortino Ratio

-1.99

Max Drawdown

6927.2%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

2.88

Kelly Fraction

0.443

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	11.538	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	82.0¢	8.54	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.9¢	12.69	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	12.674	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	8.537	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	5.89	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	6.18	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	6.2	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	6.198	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	19.6	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	19.608	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	8.74	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	8.734	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	8.73	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	8.734	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	9.52	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	9.514	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	6.018	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.6¢	5.19	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.0%

Win Consistency36.3%

Profit Factor0.43

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity369 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$4569d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue