hja2805

0xdf70a8...4e7350

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.2%

Total P&L

+$480

Trade Count

1,127

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.26

Max Drawdown

224.0%

ROI

2.2%

Profit Factor

2.64

Kelly Fraction

0.349

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	10.1	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	30.0¢	31.367	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	19.892	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	31.0¢	20.226	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.7¢	110.58	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.3¢	59.568	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.9¢	72.64	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	88.1¢	15.891	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	83.8¢	47.911	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	75	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	81.2¢	10.27	Mar 3
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.3¢	14.675	Mar 3
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	14.441	Mar 3
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	45.013	Mar 3
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	73.6¢	42.24	Mar 3
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	43.731	Mar 3
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	45	Mar 3
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	91.1¢	64.56	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.3¢	147.642	Mar 2
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	14.788	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.0%

Win Consistency47.6%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity1,127 trades · 90 active days

P&L Calendar

$7448d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue