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HolyPost

0x8607b0...a92ccd
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
86.4%
Total P&L
-$418
Trade Count
2,608
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Sortino Ratio
0.23
Max Drawdown
2469.1%
ROI
-0.9%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 6?BUY91.0¢10.989Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY99.4¢8.179Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY98.7¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢10Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢10Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY83.7¢11.947Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY98.9¢19.616Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 6?BUY96.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 6?BUY98.4¢22Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?BUY96.8¢25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 6?BUY98.8¢10.124Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?BUY92.0¢10.87Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY95.0¢10.526Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?BUY98.8¢20.243Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?BUY97.0¢20.626Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 6?BUY95.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY97.9¢30.644Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL2.2¢30.2Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY98.1¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%6%50–70%4%70–80%7%80–90%72%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.8%
Win Consistency56.4%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity2,608 trades · 202 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$18,70739d profit157d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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