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IDimov

0x23431c...f3d6f0
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
21.5%
Total P&L
-$870
Trade Count
569
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Sortino Ratio
27.32
Max Drawdown
1372.3%
ROI
-10.9%
Profit Factor
0.67
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL5.5¢400Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?SELL9.0¢200Mar 5
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?SELL6.0¢200Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.9¢400Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢600Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.0¢300Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL5.4¢200Mar 5
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL0.1¢11.91Mar 5
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL0.1¢27.54Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL5.7¢150.14Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.2¢299.98Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.1¢299.99Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.1¢400Mar 5
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?SELL2.9¢250Mar 5
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.5¢400Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL3.4¢200Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.6¢300Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL4.8¢99.73Mar 5
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL2.3¢200Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL3.2¢99.99Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%76%< 10%10%10–20%5%20–30%7%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%
Win Consistency27.5%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity569 trades · 45 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,6758d profit37d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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