ilana

0x7e3d97...ba3f0f

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.1%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

162

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.40

Max Drawdown

127.2%

ROI

7.6%

Profit Factor

1.43

Kelly Fraction

0.156

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	BUY	55.0¢	1.818	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	4.255	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	7.692	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	SELL	26.0¢	1.82	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	54.0¢	1.852	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	12.6¢	5.36	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	SELL	27.0¢	1.64	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	SELL	36.0¢	1.75	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	BUY	56.0¢	1.786	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.3¢	5.362	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	5.882	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	90.0¢	4.05	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	49.4¢	4.049	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	32.1¢	4.17	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	47.9¢	4.175	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency31.3%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity162 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$517d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue