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jankozak - 35641

0xa894ea...5553da
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
228
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Sortino Ratio
-0.18
Max Drawdown
251.1%
ROI
4.0%
Profit Factor
1.29
Kelly Fraction
0.113
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?SELL21.3¢956.11Mar 5
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?BUY99.4¢4.024Mar 1
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY93.4¢10.707Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY89.0¢11.236Mar 1
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?BUY21.0¢476.19Mar 1
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?BUY20.9¢1,436.048Mar 1
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?BUY90.0¢333.333Feb 27
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY84.0¢595.238Feb 27
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?BUY76.6¢391.602Feb 27
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?BUY93.5¢213.904Feb 27
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?BUY90.0¢222.222Feb 27
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?BUY91.0¢5.495Feb 26
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY52.6¢380.261Feb 26
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?BUY47.9¢417.299Feb 26
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?SELL0.1¢6,344.32Feb 26
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY46.4¢215.722Feb 26
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY44.5¢224.511Feb 26
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY4.1¢485.229Feb 4
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?BUY99.9¢100.1Feb 4
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?BUY58.0¢100Feb 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%9%10–20%9%20–30%8%30–50%18%50–70%9%70–80%5%80–90%30%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.6%
Win Consistency47.1%
Profit Factor0.27
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity225 trades · 21 active days
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P&L Calendar
$28,8212d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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