jasonwill

0x73fbd6...9a5198

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.5%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.07

Max Drawdown

302.1%

ROI

-4.3%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	64.7¢	6.043	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.2¢	11.317	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	65.0¢	7.692	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Feb 15
Was Trump hacked?	SELL	3.0¢	28.57	Jan 18
Was Trump hacked?	BUY	3.5¢	28.571	Jan 18
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?	BUY	56.0¢	1.786	Jan 3
Berachain airdrop in 2024?	BUY	95.8¢	4.207	Dec 21
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	BUY	25.5¢	3.922	Aug 11
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?	BUY	92.0¢	1.087	Aug 2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	1.027	Jul 27
Euro Finals: Spain vs. England	BUY	42.0¢	2.381	Jul 12
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?	BUY	88.0¢	2.443	Jun 27
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?	BUY	88.0¢	2.273	Jun 27
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Jun 22
Biden drops out of presidential race?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Jun 22
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?	BUY	87.0¢	2.299	Jun 11
zkSync airdrop by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	May 28
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	May 25
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	May 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.0%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue