jinwu

0x77789e...58b928@egxog79535753

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.4%

Total P&L

+$185

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

0.68

Max Drawdown

1221.9%

ROI

2.8%

Profit Factor

7.89

Kelly Fraction

0.641

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	1.008	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	81.325	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	222.445	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?	BUY	99.8¢	52.121	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	29.087	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	128.128	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	49.049	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	166.333	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	41.082	Mar 2
Will Solana reach $110 February 23-March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	184.184	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	66.132	Feb 28
Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	133.133	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 7?	BUY	99.9¢	384	Feb 6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.6¢	3.012	Jan 31
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	BUY	20.0¢	200	Jan 31
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 1?	BUY	99.7¢	24.072	Jan 31
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	99.909	Jan 29
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	82.8¢	21.68	Jan 29
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	21.687	Jan 29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 30?	BUY	0.5¢	240	Jan 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.7%

Win Consistency31.6%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity80 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,6910d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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