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jtb4pmml

0x3e2ddb...a9f056
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
97.1%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
278
Sharpe Ratio
-1.93
Sortino Ratio
-2.16
Max Drawdown
30405.9%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
72.27
Kelly Fraction
0.958
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL94.9¢48.75Mar 5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY97.0¢48.75Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL97.6¢46.49Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.5¢46.49Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.4¢47.9Mar 3
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.5¢47.91Mar 3
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL95.7¢46.25Mar 3
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?BUY95.8¢46.25Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL96.6¢49.15Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY96.9¢49.15Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL91.8¢50.15Mar 2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY92.0¢50.15Feb 25
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL94.1¢45.69Feb 13
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY94.2¢45.69Feb 13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL95.4¢48.09Feb 13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY95.5¢48.09Feb 13
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL93.0¢54.26Feb 13
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY93.1¢54.26Feb 13
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL97.6¢49.79Feb 13
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY97.7¢49.79Feb 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.3%
Win Consistency32.4%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity278 trades · 31 active days
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P&L Calendar
$611d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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