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k1skvd7t

0x8189df...4dc63d
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
72.7%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
232
Sharpe Ratio
-0.64
Sortino Ratio
-0.58
Max Drawdown
701.1%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
4.76
Kelly Fraction
0.574
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL95.8¢39.04Mar 5
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY95.9¢39.05Mar 4
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL96.7¢39.08Mar 4
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY97.1¢39.08Mar 4
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢34.45Mar 4
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.0¢34.45Mar 4
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL90.2¢43.6Mar 4
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY91.3¢43.6Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL94.5¢44.97Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY94.8¢44.98Mar 3
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?SELL97.8¢34.15Mar 3
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?BUY97.6¢34.15Mar 3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.9¢43.59Mar 2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY97.4¢43.59Feb 25
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?SELL97.1¢14.44Feb 13
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?SELL97.2¢28.01Feb 13
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?BUY97.3¢42.45Feb 13
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL95.6¢15.83Feb 13
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL95.2¢30.13Feb 13
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY95.8¢15.83Feb 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%
Win Consistency32.5%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity232 trades · 25 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$528d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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