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K65YT43

0x88bf2b...8756e4
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
64.0%
Total P&L
+$24
Trade Count
479
Sharpe Ratio
-1.88
Sortino Ratio
-1.73
Max Drawdown
25991.8%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
3.00
Kelly Fraction
0.426
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢13.131Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢5.4Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢6.18Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.6¢10.32Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.2¢10.62Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.3¢10.604Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.9¢10.321Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL70.9¢5.15Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢1Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢6.164Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.8¢11.44Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.8¢11.421Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢5.45Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢5.453Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢7.66Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢7.642Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.4¢9.83Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%10%70–80%9%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.2%
Win Consistency42.8%
Profit Factor0.43
Drawdown Resilience0.35
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity479 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$49312d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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