kaj43

0x7d6077...6203d8

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.7%

Total P&L

+$377.3K

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

0.60

Sortino Ratio

3.97

Max Drawdown

195.3%

ROI

244.6%

Profit Factor

6.57

Kelly Fraction

0.430

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	18.1¢	500	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	80.5	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	400	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	16.12	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	26.54	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	21.84	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	410.1	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	7.13	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	7.939	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	3.31	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	3.8¢	17.21	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	7.231	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	109.279	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	7.2¢	1.36	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	7.2¢	35	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	7.2¢	20	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.3%

Win Consistency57.0%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity997 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$28,5508d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue