Kirdipull

0x43d033...e94d6e

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.6%

Total P&L

+$30

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

0.37

Max Drawdown

451.9%

ROI

1.2%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.044

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	39.65	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	0.2¢	80.85	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	46.4¢	58.44	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	95.9¢	12.6	Feb 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	90.8¢	58.44	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	SELL	90.2¢	28.87	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	SELL	90.4¢	30	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	11.8	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	47.07	Jan 29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Jan 29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	7.0¢	100	Jan 29
Kings vs. 76ers	BUY	82.0¢	12	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	80	Jan 23
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	80	Jan 23
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	SELL	98.3¢	81	Jan 23
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	81	Jan 22
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	80.8	Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	80.8	Jan 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	SELL	31.0¢	10.83	Jan 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	11	Jan 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.2%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity64 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$4594d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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