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Kirmagedon

0xafd03a...f0a098@skirmantas10977
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
31.3%
Total P&L
-$335
Trade Count
549
Sharpe Ratio
1.09
Sortino Ratio
40.05
Max Drawdown
156.8%
ROI
-6.8%
Profit Factor
0.65
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jason Reynolds be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?SELL4.0¢72Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY12.0¢50.167Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY22.9¢37.174Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY25.9¢34.808Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.9¢1,000Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY24.0¢37.5Mar 4
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL53.0¢4.93Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?SELL23.0¢38.38Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY17.0¢52.941Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY43.0¢20Mar 4
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?BUY98.9¢2.002Mar 4
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢2.002Mar 4
Will Kokuho win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY98.9¢2.002Mar 4
Will Arnold Allen be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY98.7¢2.006Mar 4
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY98.8¢2.004Mar 4
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?BUY98.4¢2.012Mar 4
Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?BUY98.3¢2.014Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢2.002Mar 4
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?BUY96.2¢3.025Mar 4
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?BUY96.6¢2.008Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%10%10–20%4%20–30%10%30–50%38%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%20%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%
Win Consistency26.5%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity549 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,7710d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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