kolfich

0x7d1bb9...9de75c

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.5%

Total P&L

+$38.1K

Trade Count

2,725

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

9.50

Max Drawdown

8025.6%

ROI

58.2%

Profit Factor

16.75

Kelly Fraction

0.334

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	17.5¢	10	Mar 5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	13.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	3.629	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	BUY	36.0¢	10.625	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	11.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	12.3¢	10	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	12.3¢	766.64	Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	18.7	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	12.1¢	10	Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	BUY	71.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	SELL	95.9¢	100	Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	1.3	Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	15.3¢	10	Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	15.7¢	10	Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	16.1¢	10	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.4%

Win Consistency66.9%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity2,725 trades · 160 active days

P&L Calendar

$21,85653d profit107d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue