KoninaAntonina

0x870690...4e0587

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.5%

Total P&L

+$458

Trade Count

664

Sharpe Ratio

0.59

Sortino Ratio

2.50

Max Drawdown

10450.6%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.079

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	17.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	16.0¢	230	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	100	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	63	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.7¢	13	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.7¢	42	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	70.0¢	37	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	SELL	60.0¢	151.1	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	70	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	65.0¢	8	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	61.0¢	82	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	61.0¢	87	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	60.0¢	3.21	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	60.0¢	70	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	59.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	SELL	60.0¢	302.2	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.4¢	17	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	74.4¢	25	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency60.4%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity664 trades · 110 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,37146d profit62d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue