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KrillBill

KrillBill

0x9f43ef...ffc706
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
68.1%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
405
Sharpe Ratio
0.61
Sortino Ratio
7.56
Max Drawdown
4010.3%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.24
Kelly Fraction
0.131
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?BUY96.4¢1.037Mar 5
Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY94.1¢5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL73.0¢3.31Mar 4
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?BUY95.2¢5Mar 3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?BUY31.0¢5Mar 3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?SELL0.5¢70Mar 3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?BUY70.0¢2.857Mar 3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?BUY1.5¢70Mar 3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?SELL41.0¢5Mar 3
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?BUY32.0¢5Mar 3
Trump approval Up or Down this week?SELL54.0¢2.17Mar 3
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL15.0¢6.66Mar 3
Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY92.0¢5Mar 3
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?BUY91.0¢1.099Mar 3
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?BUY86.0¢1.163Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?BUY94.8¢2.11Mar 3
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?SELL92.0¢1.56Mar 3
Will EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026?BUY96.0¢20.833Mar 3
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL94.0¢21.05Mar 3
Will EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026?BUY94.0¢3.191Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%9%10–20%6%20–30%6%30–50%13%50–70%6%70–80%16%80–90%26%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.5%
Win Consistency69.9%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity399 trades · 75 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22826d profit49d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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