kuoui

0xfc677e...4aa7dd
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
77.5%
Total P&L
+$1.7K
Trade Count
111
Sharpe Ratio
-1.28
Sortino Ratio
-1.11
Max Drawdown
3665.9%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
6.23
Kelly Fraction
0.651
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
025.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.4¢1,315Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.5¢1,315Mar 5
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1,060.27Mar 4
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.7¢1,060.27Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY69.0¢207.34Mar 4
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢1,125.59Mar 3
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢1,125.59Mar 3
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢898.39Mar 3
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢898.39Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.1¢1,136.16Mar 2
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.2¢1,136.16Mar 2
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL99.7¢1,291.31Mar 2
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY99.8¢1,291.31Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢4.54Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢7.36Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢7.59Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢986.06Mar 2
Pistons vs. CavaliersBUY45.0¢331.51Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,005.55Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.5¢131.196Mar 1
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30%30–50%8%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%57%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity111 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,8851d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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