kupec

0x9f3fc0...82af73@AramisKozlovski

Smart Score

Win Rate

32.9%

Total P&L

-$587

Trade Count

2,007

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

4.49

Max Drawdown

3950.9%

ROI

-4.0%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	SELL	0.2¢	74.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	0.2¢	58	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	28.0¢	21.39	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	40.0¢	7.15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	40.0¢	2.85	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	2.8¢	58	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	8.4¢	17.12	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	8.3¢	16	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	BUY	1.6¢	74.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	23.57	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	12.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	73.0¢	12.98	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	14.9¢	20	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	23.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	BUY	16.0¢	22	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	BUY	16.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 2-8?	BUY	16.4¢	30	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	45.3¢	20	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	50.0¢	100	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%

Win Consistency33.6%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity2,007 trades · 144 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,63816d profit123d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue