lajdh

0xbf9f1d...4161dc
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
68.0%
Total P&L
+$3.2K
Trade Count
179
Sharpe Ratio
1.21
Sortino Ratio
16.30
Max Drawdown
3581.3%
ROI
36.2%
Profit Factor
4.51
Kelly Fraction
0.529
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
052.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETBUY39.0¢10Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL43.6¢111.47Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY55.0¢38.53Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY55.0¢50Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY43.4¢86.68Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY43.4¢83.32Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY43.4¢30Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL16.5¢3.35Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL17.4¢5Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY19.9¢8.35Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSELL25.0¢19.99Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY11.0¢8Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY11.0¢2Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY28.0¢3.288Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY28.0¢6.71Mar 2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢40Mar 2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢80Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL99.9¢70Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.5¢70Feb 25
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢80Feb 25
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%3%10–20%3%20–30%30%30–50%12%50–70%4%70–80%9%80–90%19%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.4%
Win Consistency51.3%
Profit Factor1.35
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83
Trading Activity179 trades · 16 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,8234d profit11d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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