lakdwed

0x82df17...0f2265
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
63.9%
Total P&L
-$27
Trade Count
93
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29
Sortino Ratio
-0.35
Max Drawdown
193.2%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
1.04
Kelly Fraction
0.027
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
04.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Raptors vs. TimberwolvesBUY33.0¢365.45Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.1¢1,818Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.2¢1,818Mar 5
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL99.8¢1,531.61Mar 4
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY99.9¢1,531.611Mar 4
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.8¢1,223.09Mar 4
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.9¢1,223.083Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢107.892Mar 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.1¢1,729Mar 4
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.2¢1,729Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢1,576.11Mar 3
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢1,576.11Mar 3
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.8¢1,372.66Mar 3
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.9¢1,372.662Mar 3
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢1,838Mar 3
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,838Mar 3
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,802.62Mar 2
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,802.62Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢1,724.31Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?BUY99.7¢1,724.313Mar 2
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.7%
Win Consistency19.2%
Profit Factor0.11
Drawdown Resilience0.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.07
Trading Activity93 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,1070d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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