Larlok

0x22da7f...d6ca27

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$71

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.17

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

189.5%

ROI

-22.5%

Profit Factor

0.37

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	BUY	34.0¢	29.412	Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	66.1¢	30.268	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	26.651	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?	BUY	63.3¢	15.806	Feb 24
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?	BUY	33.9¢	29.525	Feb 23
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	80.0¢	25	Feb 5
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	22.989	Feb 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	71.0¢	28.169	Feb 5
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	BUY	76.0¢	19.737	Feb 3
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	77.0¢	25.974	Feb 2
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	70.2¢	28.471	Feb 2
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	87.0¢	11.494	Feb 2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	BUY	83.3¢	24.007	Jan 30
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?	BUY	74.0¢	13.514	Jan 22
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	70.0¢	14.286	Jan 22
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	85.0¢	11.765	Jan 22
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Jan 22
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	11.628	Jan 22
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	BUY	64.0¢	15.625	Jan 22
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	88.0¢	11.364	Jan 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency63.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity23 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$3150d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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