lawfultots

0x659740...64997d
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
56.3%
Total P&L
-$86.6K
Trade Count
901
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Sortino Ratio
3.14
Max Drawdown
397.4%
ROI
-12.2%
Profit Factor
0.20
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
04.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢1,869.27Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢28.803Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢35.026Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢26.951Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢33.455Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢36.358Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢28.772Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢23.111Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢31.217Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢20.395Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢400Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢193Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢1,000Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢8.855Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢8.169Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢100Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢100.06Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢130.14Nov 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢711.12Nov 1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY3.9¢83.24Nov 1
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%18%10–20%4%20–30%6%30–50%18%50–70%11%70–80%10%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%
Win Consistency42.6%
Profit Factor0.11
Drawdown Resilience0.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.07
Trading Activity89 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5085d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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