lionew

0xf58393...641d09

Smart Score

Win Rate

16.7%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

5.74

Sortino Ratio

23.97

Max Drawdown

27.6%

ROI

-6.1%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 5
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	19.5¢	5.128	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	54.0¢	7.61	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.3¢	76.923	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 5
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	1.6¢	61.629	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	4.5¢	22.222	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 5
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 5

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.1%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue