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lmanchu630

lmanchu630

0x2aacf9...936b9f
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
60.2%
Total P&L
-$90
Trade Count
389
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54
Sortino Ratio
-1.09
Max Drawdown
707.4%
ROI
-4.0%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY97.3¢5.087Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY97.3¢5.087Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY97.8¢5.061Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY97.8¢5.061Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?BUY22.0¢36Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY35.3¢43.889Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?BUY98.7¢5.015Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL37.0¢58Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?BUY96.9¢5.108Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?BUY96.9¢5.108Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?BUY96.9¢5.108Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?BUY96.9¢5.108Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY97.6¢5.072Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?BUY97.6¢5.072Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL15.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?SELL21.0¢9.47Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?SELL21.0¢9.524Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL69.0¢14Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 4?SELL23.2¢81Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?SELL16.0¢56Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%8%10–20%10%20–30%12%30–50%7%50–70%8%70–80%6%80–90%46%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.5%
Win Consistency38.7%
Profit Factor0.10
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity389 trades · 23 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,1932d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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