Lockmat

0x6d5f5e...3ce1ad

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.3%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.99

Sortino Ratio

-3.12

Max Drawdown

526.5%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

1.13

Kelly Fraction

0.035

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	68.7¢	14.565	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	88.0¢	11.364	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 31	BUY	90.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	82.8¢	12.077	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	76.0¢	10.526	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	70.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	25.0¢	21.73	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	31.0¢	20.83	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	15.385	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	10.5¢	28.491	Mar 4
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	BUY	11.8¢	50.847	Mar 4
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	BUY	2.0¢	151.432	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	20.833	Mar 2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Mar 2
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	43.8¢	11.416	Mar 2
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	23.8¢	8.39	Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	6.4¢	46.875	Feb 27
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.5¢	120	Feb 27
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	31.0¢	16.129	Feb 26
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	90.4¢	9.957	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency31.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity34 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$1980d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue