Lolilolilol

0x4b0a37...27e089

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.0%

Total P&L

+$27

Trade Count

202

Sharpe Ratio

-0.40

Sortino Ratio

-0.71

Max Drawdown

1392.4%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

1.29

Kelly Fraction

0.112

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	28.0¢	74.571	Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.6¢	625	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	30.91	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	30.914	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	SELL	32.0¢	33.8	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	BUY	31.0¢	33.806	Feb 27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	88.0¢	11.91	Feb 27
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	BUY	71.8¢	49.574	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	SELL	50.0¢	15.54	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	179.7	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	SELL	46.0¢	21.38	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	179.7	Feb 21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	14.0¢	128.36	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	21.389	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	SELL	4.4¢	100	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Feb 18
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	SELL	24.0¢	71.42	Feb 18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	11.919	Feb 14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	97.3¢	10.54	Feb 14
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	BUY	76.0¢	2.816	Feb 14

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.0%

Win Consistency43.7%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity202 trades · 63 active days

P&L Calendar

$21827d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue