LotusN

0x6708eb...004a35

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.3%

Total P&L

-$71

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.11

Sortino Ratio

-1.02

Max Drawdown

448.4%

ROI

-19.1%

Profit Factor

0.14

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	BUY	67.2¢	23.824	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?	BUY	98.6¢	6.085	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	96.8¢	20.671	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	15.6¢	12.821	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	BUY	67.0¢	11.94	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Oman in March?	BUY	25.8¢	38.787	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?	BUY	83.0¢	24.096	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?	BUY	97.0¢	10.309	Mar 1
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	BUY	98.4¢	22.358	Mar 1
Will Iran strike Israel in March?	BUY	99.4¢	26.157	Mar 1
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	BUY	97.2¢	5.144	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	0.3¢	2,000	Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.5¢	2,000	Mar 1
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	40.051	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	60	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	60	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	1.4¢	32.18	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Feb 23
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	32.184	Feb 23
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	26.582	Jan 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity20 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2430d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue