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lowl

0x603ebf...553128
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
56.1%
Total P&L
+$12.0K
Trade Count
198
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Sortino Ratio
0.07
Max Drawdown
526.5%
ROI
9.0%
Profit Factor
7.09
Kelly Fraction
0.482
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY5.0¢200Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY24.0¢200Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL99.9¢203.81Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY22.0¢203.81Feb 8
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL5.0¢100Feb 8
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.3¢9,999.99Feb 8
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢55.76Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢444.24Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢1,038.56Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢148.08Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢296.16Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢200Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢1,356.07Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢83.29Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢645Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢550Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢1,473.68Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢119.29Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢178.4Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.8¢222.37Jan 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%10–20%8%20–30%9%30–50%8%50–70%7%70–80%12%80–90%33%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.2%
Win Consistency58.7%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity198 trades · 27 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$44,2664d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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