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lpardo

0x499372...612e40
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
61.4%
Total P&L
+$31
Trade Count
57
Sharpe Ratio
-1.99
Sortino Ratio
-2.39
Max Drawdown
768985300.0%
ROI
6.2%
Profit Factor
1.23
Kelly Fraction
0.114
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢26.316Mar 5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?BUY50.0¢46.82Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY52.0¢5Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY52.0¢20Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY62.0¢30Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY46.0¢20Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY76.0¢27.632Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY69.0¢14.493Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY85.0¢5.882Feb 28
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY66.0¢15.152Feb 28
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreBUY58.0¢60.345Feb 25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?BUY68.0¢35.294Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY54.0¢18.519Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY66.0¢10.606Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY73.0¢10.959Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY43.7¢11.435Feb 11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?BUY42.0¢47.619Feb 11
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna KalinskayaBUY59.0¢30.508Feb 10
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?SELL2.4¢142.85Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY64.0¢9.375Feb 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%18%30–50%53%50–70%14%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.5%
Win Consistency29.5%
Profit Factor0.10
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity57 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3600d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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