Lucas012

0xa72448...0ad19b

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$3.7K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.41

Sortino Ratio

19.84

Max Drawdown

30.0%

ROI

48.7%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

070.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	940	Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.3¢	797.53	Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.3¢	1.88	Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.3¢	20.24	Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.3¢	120.35	Mar 5
Pacers vs. Clippers	BUY	84.0¢	27.143	Mar 4
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.2¢	1,000	Mar 4
Pelicans vs. Lakers	BUY	77.0¢	9.091	Mar 3
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.9¢	930	Mar 3
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	1.0¢	930	Mar 3
Clippers vs. Warriors	BUY	50.0¢	9	Mar 2
Rockets vs. Wizards	BUY	90.0¢	22.222	Mar 2
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	930	Feb 28
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.8¢	930	Feb 28
Nuggets vs. Thunder	BUY	69.0¢	15.942	Feb 27
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	960	Feb 27
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.9¢	960	Feb 27
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	BUY	75.0¢	17.6	Feb 26
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	950	Feb 26

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active70.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.3%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.84

Drawdown Resilience1.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.48

Weekly Sharpe est.1.13

Trading Activity25 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

+$7,4248d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue