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Lucky111

Lucky111

0xd07667...8dd2ef
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
82.2%
Total P&L
+$38.7K
Trade Count
434
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.43
Max Drawdown
456.7%
ROI
3.7%
Profit Factor
1.04
Kelly Fraction
0.028
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 23?BUY99.9¢7.728Nov 23
Over $10M committed to the VOOI public sale?BUY99.3¢7.714Nov 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 15?BUY99.8¢7.665Nov 15
Spread: CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba (-1.5)SELL86.0¢16,112Nov 15
Spread: CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba (-1.5)BUY30.0¢16,112Nov 15
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-21.5)SELL10.0¢12,555Nov 15
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-21.5)BUY91.0¢12,555Nov 15
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 136.5SELL93.0¢16,100Nov 15
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 136.5BUY6.0¢16,100Nov 15
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?BUY99.3¢26.938Nov 11
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.90 on November 6?BUY99.9¢26.746Nov 5
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?SELL86.7¢29.42Nov 5
Jazz vs. TimberwolvesSELL86.0¢10,900Nov 1
Jazz vs. TimberwolvesBUY14.0¢10,900Nov 1
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ETSELL50.0¢18,678Nov 1
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ETBUY50.0¢9,378Nov 1
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ETBUY50.0¢9,300Nov 1
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ETSELL50.0¢18,650.25Nov 1
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ETBUY50.0¢9,762.25Nov 1
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ETBUY50.0¢8,888Nov 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%26%50–70%70–80%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.9%
Win Consistency62.6%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity282 trades · 42 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$18,1348d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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