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lys024

0x967588...bab63f
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
40.9%
Total P&L
-$97
Trade Count
47
Sharpe Ratio
3.65
Sortino Ratio
121.39
Max Drawdown
30.0%
ROI
-20.1%
Profit Factor
0.27
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
043.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY23.0¢17.391Mar 4
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY6.0¢31.66Mar 4
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY6.0¢10Mar 4
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY6.0¢0.42Mar 4
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY6.0¢2.92Mar 4
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY6.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢5.882Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY1.2¢85.385Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY3.1¢32.258Mar 4
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial" 5+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?BUY4.6¢21.87Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?BUY5.5¢91.252Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY34.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY34.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY39.0¢12.821Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY30.1¢49.902Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?SELL9.0¢410.09Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?SELL12.0¢0.417Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY29.6¢13.057Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%19%10–20%16%20–30%22%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.4%
Win Consistency59.1%
Profit Factor1.13
Drawdown Resilience0.91
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91
Weekly Sharpe est.0.69
Trading Activity47 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$981d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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