MaiLin

0x6c3992...fa79f0@andrew_esp87208
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
93.2%
Total P&L
+$33
Trade Count
76
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.03
Max Drawdown
136.8%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
2.73
Kelly Fraction
0.591
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?BUY98.9¢1.719Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.8¢110.22Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY91.8¢108.923Mar 3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.6¢2.008Feb 27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.3¢100.743Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY97.8¢102.117Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY99.9¢99.869Feb 10
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?BUY99.8¢99.77Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?BUY99.8¢99.569Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?BUY99.3¢96.032Jan 29
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY90.0¢1.111Jan 21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY99.2¢1.21Jan 21
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY98.6¢1.014Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢95.095Jan 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?BUY99.8¢98.196Jan 14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?BUY99.8¢98.196Jan 10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?BUY99.3¢98.076Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?BUY99.9¢97.097Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?BUY99.9¢97.287Jan 1
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?BUY96.9¢96.165Dec 31
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%89%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.1%
Win Consistency66.2%
Profit Factor0.77
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity62 trades · 41 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,3161d profit40d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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